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Arizona’s political personality may be changing

Video Credit: KGUN, Tucson, AZ
Published on September 19, 2020 - Duration: 02:09s
Democrats gain in registrations; independents remain a wild card
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Arizona’s political personality may be changing

REPUBLICAN STATE --FOR (YEARS-- BUT POLITICAL ANALYSTS SAY-- VOTER REGISTRATION NUMBERSARE TELLING A DIFFERENT STORY-- IN 2020.

9 ON YOUR SIDE'SCRAIG SMITH -- REPORTS.REPUBLICAN PRESIDENTIALCANDIDATES HAVE CARRIEDARIZONA SINCE EISENHOWER RAN68 YEARS AGO.

BILL CLINTON WASTHE ONE EXCEPTION IN 1996.

BUTPOPULATION GROWTH HERE HASBEEN EATING AWAY AT THEREPUBLICAN EDGE INREGISTRATION.

REPUBLICANSSTILL HAVE A REGISTRATIONADVANTAGE BUT STATEWIDE IT'SONLY ABOUT 2.4 PERCENT.

PIMACOUNTY HAS BEEN A RAREDEMOCRATIC STRONGHOLD.

LATESTFIGURES FOR PIMA COUNTY GIVEDEMOCRATS MORE THAN AN 11PERCENT EDGE IN REGISTEREDVOTERS.

UNIVERSITY OF ARIZONAPROFESSOR KATE KENSKI STUDIESPOLITICAL COMMUNICATIONS.

SHETHINKS VOTERS WHO'VE DECLAREDA PARTY ARE SO ANGRY AT EACHOTHER THEY'RE NOT LIKELY TO BECHANGING THEIR MINDS.

7:50 SOWHICHEVER SIDE CAN REALLY, YOUKNOW, BEAT THE DRUMS, SO TOSPEAK, GENERATE THATENTHUSIASM, GET THEIR PEOPLETO THE POLLS.

THAT'S THE SIDETHAT IS GOING TO CARRY THEELECTION." 8:04 U OF AGOVERNMENT PROFESSOR LISASANCHEZ SAYS A LOT OF THEGROWTH FOR THE DEMOCRATS HASBEEN WITH YOUNG LATINO VOTERS.BUT ABOUT A THIRD OF ARIZONANSSTATEWIDE REGISTERED WITH NOPARTY.

INDEPENDENT ACCOUNT FORABOUT 29 PERCENT IN PIMACOUNTY.

SANCHEZ SAYS A LOT OFINDEPENDENTS REALLY LEANTOWARDS BEING DEMOCRAT ORREPUBLICAN.

THEY JUST NEVEROFFICIALLY SIGNED ON WITH APARTY.

1:40 "SO THERE'S A LOTOF THAT VOTE, IT'S ALREADYKIND OF SPOKEN FOR IT JUSTMAKES US AS RESEARCHERS ANDYOU GUYS AS JOURNALISTS ANDHAVE TO READ BETWEEN THE LINESAND FIGURE OUT WHERE THEY'REGOING TO WHERE THEY'RE GOINGTO SET UP." 1:51 KENSKI SAYSINDEPENDENTS DON'T ALWAYS TURNOUT AS RELIABLY AS PARTYMEMBERS DO, AND THE ISSUESTHAT MOTIVATE THEM CAN VARYMORE THAN WITH VOTERS WHO'VECHOSEN A PARTY.

SANCHEZ SAYSPIMA COUNTY'S DEMOCRATIC BASEHAS BEEN A SMALL BUTSIGNIFICANT COUNTER BALANCE TOMARICOPA COUNTY WHICH USUALLYVOTES REPUBLICAN BUT IS SEEINGA RISE IN DEMOCRAT STRENGTH.BOTH POLITICAL ANALYSTS SAYTHE REACTION TO COVID 19, ANDTHE ECONOMY MAKE THIS ELECTIONONE LIKE THEY'VE NEVER SEENBEFORE.

CRAIG SMITH, KGUN9 ONYOUR SIDE

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